Box Office Predictions?

[Inny Binny]

I would have said lower in most circumstances, for the same reason that Star Wars saw a drop, even though Empire Strikes Back is considered the pinnacle of the series.

However, there is going to be such a rapid expansion of 3D theatres that there will be at least twice as many domestically, and who knows how many times more overseas. This will ameliorate a drop, and even better - the degree to which 3D will be expansing across the globe could possible give Avatar 2 an increase over Avatar.

There is one more factor for a worldwide increase. Emerging markets, such as Russia and China, are only just starting to see good sized grosses. And they are accelerating at a ridiculous pace. Avatar's $100m in Russia could be equivalent to $200m in 4 years' time, simply due to such a huge market expansion. This will affect all movies, not just Avatar.

So, for the above reasons, I think Avatar will increase. I assume Avatar will make $750m domestically and $2.25b overseas, for $3b worldwide. So, these are my predictions for Avatar 2:

DOM OW: $190m
DOM total: $825m (+10% over Avatar)

OS OW: $610m
OS total: $3.175b (+ 41% over Avatar)

WW OW: $800m
WW total: $4b (+33% over Avatar)

[superpidrooo]

I think AVATAR 2 will not pass the top of the first movie, that is now $2,240,712,214
but I´d like to be wrong I´ll be waiting since the first day to see it

[Zurom]

Let me shed some light on this topic.

Before you speculate on how Avatar 2 is going to compare to its first. You must remember who we're talking about here; James Cameron. If you recall, he has two of the best sequels ever made!

-Terminator 2: Judgement Day
-Aliens

I like to bring this point to the table when people are skeptical towards Avatar 2 because it changes their mind completely.

As far as Avatar 2's box-office performance, it will undoubtedly shatter most/all opening records. Overall, I can see it breaking the following records with ease:

• Opening Weekend - Domestic
• Opening Weekend - Foreign
• Opening Weekend - Worldwide
• Which ever month it's released in
• Everyday of the week
• First 10 day gross
• Fastest to $100 million
• Fastest to $150 million
• Fastest to $200 million
• Fastest to $250 million
• Fastest to $300 million
• Fastest to $350 million
• Fastest to $400 million
• Fastest to $450 million

[last shadow]

Let me shed some light on this topic.

Before you speculate on how Avatar 2 is going to compare to its first. You must remember who we're talking about here; James Cameron. If you recall, he has two of the best sequels ever made!

-Terminator 2: Judgement Day
-Aliens

I like to bring this point to the table when people are skeptical towards Avatar 2 because it changes their mind completely.

As far as Avatar 2's box-office performance, it will undoubtedly shatter most/all opening records. Overall, I can see it breaking the following records with ease:

• Opening Weekend - Domestic
• Opening Weekend - Foreign
• Opening Weekend - Worldwide
• Which ever month it's released in
• Everyday of the week
• First 10 day gross
• Fastest to $100 million
• Fastest to $150 million
• Fastest to $200 million
• Fastest to $250 million
• Fastest to $300 million
• Fastest to $350 million
• Fastest to $400 million
• Fastest to $450 million

I like this hypothesis

[nimbleVagrant]

As far as AVATAR II's domestic opening weekend, I could see $210 million. Theatres will be upgrading their projectors for this film and running screens around the clock to keep up with initial demand. It will be playing on at least 5000 screens. It will be insanely huge. I can't wait.

[chawk1993]

If its as good as the first it will score high. Even get an Oscar or two maybe?

[W0LFMAN]

My guess for Avatar 2 is around $2.8b - $3b worldwide.

[nordrassil]

I'm sure it will be an unusual success, like above 1.5 billion, but I don't think it will pass first Avatar. And it doesn't need to. This movie made so much money that even if sequels don't make something close, the trilogy will be a huge overall success.